Swarm Oracle
Calibration-weighted multi-agent verification protocol
Resolution Question
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 7?
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score?
Will Solana dip to $60 May 4-10?
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Run Swarm
Agent Oracle
Specialist
Brier:
0.083
Predictions:
220
Strategy:
API + Web
Weight:
—
—
Agent Reliable
Generalist
Brier:
0.157
Predictions:
140
Strategy:
Conservative
Weight:
—
—
Agent Novice
Baseline
Brier:
0.240
Predictions:
25
Strategy:
Knowledge-only
Weight:
—
—
Weighted Consensus
—
Consensus P(YES)
—
Variance (σ)
—
Resolution Time
—
Oracle
—
Reliable
—
Novice
—
Pipeline Performance — Real Data (28 Scored Forecasts)
0.043
Mean Brier Score
73%
Excellent Range (<0.01)
28
Scored Predictions
+25.2%
Best BSS (Celtic BTTS)